DATA & FIGURES

The refinery has a capacity of 8 million metric tons per year and processes 6 million tons of crude annually, producing around 0.5 million tons of gasoline and 2.5 million tons of diesel per year. The distance between the refinery and the front line in Ukraine is approximately 2,000 kilometers (or 1,240 miles).

THE SCENARIO

The geopolitical context of the attack is significant, with the Ukrainian government escalating its UAV attacks deep inside Russian territory. The Kremlin has long believed that Ukraine cannot accomplish such sophisticated long-distance strikes on its own and has suggested that Ukraine has had significant targeting help from US and Western allied intelligence.

DIRECT QUOTE

"An attack by unmanned aerial vehicles on the Tyumen refinery has been repelled. Emergency services specialists are working at the site where debris fell"Alexander Moor, Regional Governor

BBN INSIGHT

The attack on the Tyumen oil refinery highlights the escalating nature of the conflict between Ukraine and Russia. The fact that Ukrainian forces are able to launch drone attacks deep inside Russian territory suggests that they have significant capabilities and potentially external support.