DATA & FIGURES
10 million people without electricity, $6 billion added-fuel-cost headwind for United Airlines
THE SCENARIO
The US is considering military action against Cuba, with potential options including an air assault, as the island's power grid collapses and the regime's control over critical infrastructure weakens. The situation is complicated by the presence of potential Iranian missiles and drones on the island, and the US has shifted aircraft, intelligence assets, and offensive capabilities to the Gulf region.
DIRECT QUOTE
"If they have them, and it's very possible that they do, we'll take care of it." — President Trump
BBN INSIGHT
The potential military action against Cuba has significant implications for the island's 10 million people, who are already struggling with a collapsing power grid and economic hardship. The US action could also have broader regional implications, particularly if Iranian missiles and drones are involved. The Positive Side: A regime change in Cuba could lead to economic reforms and improved living standards for the Cuban people. The Negative Side: Military action could lead to significant humanitarian costs, including loss of life and displacement of people.