DATA & FIGURES
The European Union's emissions trading system (ETS) has led to higher ETS allowance prices, which could accelerate the phase-out of coal in Germany. 2032 is the expected year for coal to die out in Germany, according to researcher Hauke Hermann. Germany aims to source 100% of its energy from renewables by 2035, and 2038 is the legally binding deadline for the phase-out of coal.
THE SCENARIO
The global energy landscape is becoming increasingly volatile, with the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the recent Hormuz crisis exacerbating supply risks. Against this backdrop, Germany is navigating its energy transition, seeking to balance energy security with climate goals. The country's coal exit is a critical component of this transition, and geothermal energy is emerging as a potential game-changer, offering a cleaner, more sustainable alternative to traditional fossil fuels.
DIRECT QUOTE
"Our electricity market models indicate that coal will be phased out faster than envisaged under the coal exit agreement, meaning the market is outpacing the schedule. This is due to comparatively low gas prices until recently, and higher ETS allowance prices." — Hauke Hermann, Senior Researcher for Energy and Climate Action at the Institute for Applied Ecology
BBN INSIGHT
The Positive Side: Geothermal energy offers a cleaner, more sustainable alternative to traditional fossil fuels, providing a vital lifeline for communities dependent on coal for their livelihoods. The Negative Side: The transition to geothermal energy will require significant investment and infrastructure development, posing potential risks and costs for Germany's energy sector. However, with the right policies and support, geothermal energy could play a critical role in Germany's energy transition, helping the country achieve its decarbonization goals while ensuring energy security.