DATA & FIGURES

Key figures include: 144,600 individuals with autism to be removed from the NDIS by 2030, 241,000 total participants to be shifted off the scheme by 2031, and a projected reduction in the scheme's growth rate to below 2% over the next four years. The current cost of the scheme is $52bn per year, with estimates suggesting it will more than double to $117bn per year without intervention.

THE SCENARIO

The NDIS reforms are part of a larger effort by the Albanese government to get the scheme 'back on track' financially. The government argues that the changes are necessary to ensure the long-term viability of the NDIS, while critics argue that they will have a disproportionate impact on autistic individuals and those with developmental delays.

DIRECT QUOTE

"The scheme is really struggling. It’s growing far too fast. It’s frankly too big, not just for the budget. I mean, it’s costing an extraordinary amount of money for taxpayers, but it’s also dislocating a whole lot of other services and systems elsewhere in the care economy."Mark Butler, NDIS Minister

BBN INSIGHT

The Positive Side: The reforms may help to ensure the long-term financial sustainability of the NDIS, allowing it to continue providing support to those with significant and complex needs. The Negative Side: The changes will have a significant impact on autistic individuals and those with developmental delays, who may struggle to access alternative support services. This could lead to increased pressure on families and caregivers, as well as potential long-term consequences for the individuals affected.